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	<title>Comments on: Second Half Crystal Ball</title>
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	<link>http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216</link>
	<description>Deconstructing The Process</description>
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		<title>By: Daniel Smith</title>
		<link>http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216&#038;cpage=1#comment-8123</link>
		<dc:creator>Daniel Smith</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Jul 2011 22:59:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216#comment-8123</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Which is exactly what I figured you&#039;d say, Jim, and that&#039;s fine...I&#039;d rather have the hitter who is not only a much better hitter career-wise, but better with RISP, too, in those situations, but I&#039;m strange that way.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Which is exactly what I figured you&#8217;d say, Jim, and that&#8217;s fine&#8230;I&#8217;d rather have the hitter who is not only a much better hitter career-wise, but better with RISP, too, in those situations, but I&#8217;m strange that way.</p>
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		<title>By: jim fetterolf</title>
		<link>http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216&#038;cpage=1#comment-8117</link>
		<dc:creator>jim fetterolf</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Jul 2011 19:09:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216#comment-8117</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&quot;I mean, you’d rather have a guy hit for less average and power with RISP, wouldn’t you?&quot;

Frenchy has more RBIs than Billy with men on base and in scoring position.  Getzie is the man for RISP.

&quot;And let’s ignore the reason Frenchy has guys on base and in scoring position is because Billy is getting on base in front of Francoeur over 40% of the time, of course.&quot;

Yet Billy doesn&#039;t score many runs, about fifth on the team as I remember.  Billy on first is kind of a negative, as succeeding batters have to generate three bases of offense to score him, taking a double and single to bring him around rather than just a double for most of the rest of the team.

As for cherry-picking, Billy does two things well; hit ground balls and walk.  As we noticed during the brief experiment with Butler back in the 3-slot, he doesn&#039;t walk as much when followed by Gordon.  Before that Billy hit 5 and walked lots with Aviles or Betemit following him.  A flaw of OBP is that Billy gets credit for batting ahead of a weak hitter and OBP and wOBA also don&#039;t have a speed factor to show that a walk to Billy adds less probability of creating a run than a walk to anyone else except the catchers and Moose, who don&#039;t steal, although Moose is much faster than Billy based on eyeballs.  Given that, I think a broader group of stats defines production better and Billy isn&#039;t very production.  His wOBA is ineffectual at producing runs and runs are what are tallied to decide the winner of the game.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;I mean, you’d rather have a guy hit for less average and power with RISP, wouldn’t you?&#8221;</p>
<p>Frenchy has more RBIs than Billy with men on base and in scoring position.  Getzie is the man for RISP.</p>
<p>&#8220;And let’s ignore the reason Frenchy has guys on base and in scoring position is because Billy is getting on base in front of Francoeur over 40% of the time, of course.&#8221;</p>
<p>Yet Billy doesn&#8217;t score many runs, about fifth on the team as I remember.  Billy on first is kind of a negative, as succeeding batters have to generate three bases of offense to score him, taking a double and single to bring him around rather than just a double for most of the rest of the team.</p>
<p>As for cherry-picking, Billy does two things well; hit ground balls and walk.  As we noticed during the brief experiment with Butler back in the 3-slot, he doesn&#8217;t walk as much when followed by Gordon.  Before that Billy hit 5 and walked lots with Aviles or Betemit following him.  A flaw of OBP is that Billy gets credit for batting ahead of a weak hitter and OBP and wOBA also don&#8217;t have a speed factor to show that a walk to Billy adds less probability of creating a run than a walk to anyone else except the catchers and Moose, who don&#8217;t steal, although Moose is much faster than Billy based on eyeballs.  Given that, I think a broader group of stats defines production better and Billy isn&#8217;t very production.  His wOBA is ineffectual at producing runs and runs are what are tallied to decide the winner of the game.</p>
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		<title>By: KMartin</title>
		<link>http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216&#038;cpage=1#comment-8100</link>
		<dc:creator>KMartin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Jul 2011 14:00:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216#comment-8100</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With mixed feelings I think the Melky trade will happen.  Once done this team needs to develop a lead-off hitter.  Candidates are Cain, Dyson, or Lough.  Also with mixed feelings Maier needs to find opportunities elsewhere so that two of the above three can develop in KC.  The last of the three (which I think should be Lough) gets a BIG cup of coffee in September.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With mixed feelings I think the Melky trade will happen.  Once done this team needs to develop a lead-off hitter.  Candidates are Cain, Dyson, or Lough.  Also with mixed feelings Maier needs to find opportunities elsewhere so that two of the above three can develop in KC.  The last of the three (which I think should be Lough) gets a BIG cup of coffee in September.</p>
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		<title>By: Zach</title>
		<link>http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216&#038;cpage=1#comment-8096</link>
		<dc:creator>Zach</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Jul 2011 18:36:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216#comment-8096</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[VOTE ALEX GORDON!
http://atmlb.com/j0rx6M]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>VOTE ALEX GORDON!<br />
<a href="http://atmlb.com/j0rx6M" rel="nofollow">http://atmlb.com/j0rx6M</a></p>
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		<title>By: Daniel Smith</title>
		<link>http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216&#038;cpage=1#comment-8095</link>
		<dc:creator>Daniel Smith</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Jul 2011 17:52:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216#comment-8095</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Very incorrect on Escobar, Craig -- I find sufficient time and energy to both be amazed at his defense AND complain about his bat. I&#039;m no slacker. 

I&#039;m also amazed at the Melky and Frenchy supporters -- I&#039;m not a detractor, per se, because I think the Royals are getting what they paid for, and they&#039;ve both had their moments this year. I think what we all generally should be doing is shrugging...neither has been bad in 2011, but neither has been good.

And, I just can&#039;t resist...Jim, you&#039;re going to continue to make yourself look silly by championing every mediocre-to-poor player the Royals have while bashing...Billy Butler? &quot;And Billy fails to drive anyone home&quot;? The man has a slashline of .288/.436/.438 (.874 OPS) w/ RISP -- 21 hits and 28 RBI in that situation. What part of that equates to failing? I&#039;ll just sit here and wait for you to find an angle on how you&#039;re just not absolutely, totally incorrect on that statement. 

Meanwhile, you can also tell me how Francoeur&#039;s line of .266/.296/.383 (.679 OPS) is better, which is certainly the case since he has 36 RBI, right? I mean, you&#039;d rather have a guy hit for less average and power with RISP, wouldn&#039;t you? And let&#039;s ignore the reason Frenchy has guys on base and in scoring position is because Billy is getting on base in front of Francoeur over 40% of the time, of course. 

C&#039;mon, Jim, stop cherry-picking stats to support the guys you like and then ignoring stats on guys you don&#039;t. You&#039;re smarter than that.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Very incorrect on Escobar, Craig &#8212; I find sufficient time and energy to both be amazed at his defense AND complain about his bat. I&#8217;m no slacker. </p>
<p>I&#8217;m also amazed at the Melky and Frenchy supporters &#8212; I&#8217;m not a detractor, per se, because I think the Royals are getting what they paid for, and they&#8217;ve both had their moments this year. I think what we all generally should be doing is shrugging&#8230;neither has been bad in 2011, but neither has been good.</p>
<p>And, I just can&#8217;t resist&#8230;Jim, you&#8217;re going to continue to make yourself look silly by championing every mediocre-to-poor player the Royals have while bashing&#8230;Billy Butler? &#8220;And Billy fails to drive anyone home&#8221;? The man has a slashline of .288/.436/.438 (.874 OPS) w/ RISP &#8212; 21 hits and 28 RBI in that situation. What part of that equates to failing? I&#8217;ll just sit here and wait for you to find an angle on how you&#8217;re just not absolutely, totally incorrect on that statement. </p>
<p>Meanwhile, you can also tell me how Francoeur&#8217;s line of .266/.296/.383 (.679 OPS) is better, which is certainly the case since he has 36 RBI, right? I mean, you&#8217;d rather have a guy hit for less average and power with RISP, wouldn&#8217;t you? And let&#8217;s ignore the reason Frenchy has guys on base and in scoring position is because Billy is getting on base in front of Francoeur over 40% of the time, of course. </p>
<p>C&#8217;mon, Jim, stop cherry-picking stats to support the guys you like and then ignoring stats on guys you don&#8217;t. You&#8217;re smarter than that.</p>
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		<title>By: Ted</title>
		<link>http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216&#038;cpage=1#comment-8092</link>
		<dc:creator>Ted</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Jul 2011 17:25:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216#comment-8092</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Congrats to Aaron Crow.  Kind of significant snub to Gordon considering how much better he has been than any other AL left fielder.  Bautista and Granderson are no brainers; Ellsbury makes sense; Joyce I understand; and Cuddyer and Quentin I get because you have to take someone from the Twins and White Sox.  But Hamilton?  Especially as a starter.  Everyone must want to see him in the home run derby because he certainly has not played his way onto the all-star team. 

Good for Crow, I don&#039;t think he should have been left off the team, but maybe this season we should have had two representatives.  Hard to argue that for the worst team in the AL though.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Congrats to Aaron Crow.  Kind of significant snub to Gordon considering how much better he has been than any other AL left fielder.  Bautista and Granderson are no brainers; Ellsbury makes sense; Joyce I understand; and Cuddyer and Quentin I get because you have to take someone from the Twins and White Sox.  But Hamilton?  Especially as a starter.  Everyone must want to see him in the home run derby because he certainly has not played his way onto the all-star team. </p>
<p>Good for Crow, I don&#8217;t think he should have been left off the team, but maybe this season we should have had two representatives.  Hard to argue that for the worst team in the AL though.</p>
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		<title>By: Big Lee</title>
		<link>http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216&#038;cpage=1#comment-8090</link>
		<dc:creator>Big Lee</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Jul 2011 16:02:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216#comment-8090</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Dan-Davies should be happy Royals even gave him another start.  He has had 750 IP and has not made a case to be a starter.  Star noted that Davies had the ball up, so I&#039;m not sure you can blame Coors Field for that.  Rockies have not been an offensive juggernaut this year, either.

I still believe if Royals think Davies have a future, they should put him in bullpen and use him in long relief, even piggyback him on someone like Duffy, Mazarro, etc. like they do in the minors.  Yes, he needs some confidence building work, but not at the expense of a ridiculous 6-man rotation.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dan-Davies should be happy Royals even gave him another start.  He has had 750 IP and has not made a case to be a starter.  Star noted that Davies had the ball up, so I&#8217;m not sure you can blame Coors Field for that.  Rockies have not been an offensive juggernaut this year, either.</p>
<p>I still believe if Royals think Davies have a future, they should put him in bullpen and use him in long relief, even piggyback him on someone like Duffy, Mazarro, etc. like they do in the minors.  Yes, he needs some confidence building work, but not at the expense of a ridiculous 6-man rotation.</p>
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		<title>By: DanL</title>
		<link>http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216&#038;cpage=1#comment-8087</link>
		<dc:creator>DanL</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Jul 2011 01:03:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216#comment-8087</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In watching the second inning of Davies&#039; start in Colorado makes you wonder the logic of the manager to have Davies make his first start back in Colorado where his two previous starts were an 18 ERA. I am not a fan of Davies, but can&#039;t you give him a comfortable assignment for the first time back? Managers start to lose the confidence of the players with decisions like this.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In watching the second inning of Davies&#8217; start in Colorado makes you wonder the logic of the manager to have Davies make his first start back in Colorado where his two previous starts were an 18 ERA. I am not a fan of Davies, but can&#8217;t you give him a comfortable assignment for the first time back? Managers start to lose the confidence of the players with decisions like this.</p>
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		<title>By: Mr. Dave</title>
		<link>http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216&#038;cpage=1#comment-8083</link>
		<dc:creator>Mr. Dave</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Jul 2011 19:47:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216#comment-8083</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Seeing that comment in the Twitter feed about Davies being a &#039;made man&#039; makes me wonder if Moore will get rid of him by shooting him as he enters the End of the Year Royals celebration.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Seeing that comment in the Twitter feed about Davies being a &#8216;made man&#8217; makes me wonder if Moore will get rid of him by shooting him as he enters the End of the Year Royals celebration.</p>
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		<title>By: jim fetterolf</title>
		<link>http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216&#038;cpage=1#comment-8082</link>
		<dc:creator>jim fetterolf</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Jul 2011 15:31:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.royalsauthority.com/?p=4216#comment-8082</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&quot;Last one out, turn off the lights. The Royals are officially dead for 2012.&quot;

If we get Cain, Gio, and Monty up this year for some experience joining Escobar, Moose, and Hos, plus trade some veterans for more minor leaguers, it will be quite a positive season.  Off course, a lot of people declared them dead before the season even began, but I think they&#039;re all Cardinals fans:)  

Transitions are always challenging and this one is a bit painful, but the team we have at the moment is close to being competitive and, I think, will give us hope before the end of the year when the kids stop making stupid mistakes and get into the rhythm of the Bigs.  We have talent for the first time in years and that can&#039;t be taught.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Last one out, turn off the lights. The Royals are officially dead for 2012.&#8221;</p>
<p>If we get Cain, Gio, and Monty up this year for some experience joining Escobar, Moose, and Hos, plus trade some veterans for more minor leaguers, it will be quite a positive season.  Off course, a lot of people declared them dead before the season even began, but I think they&#8217;re all Cardinals fans:)  </p>
<p>Transitions are always challenging and this one is a bit painful, but the team we have at the moment is close to being competitive and, I think, will give us hope before the end of the year when the kids stop making stupid mistakes and get into the rhythm of the Bigs.  We have talent for the first time in years and that can&#8217;t be taught.</p>
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