Most years, about this time, I write a column where I wake up one July morning and find myself General Manager of the Kansas City Royals. To be totally candid, I wake up most mornings thinking I am in that position, but that’s a whole separate physiatric session. The basic premise of this scenario is that one wakes up on July 22nd to find themselves as the GM, inheriting the situation ’as-is’ with all the perceived constraints of ownership, money and at least some basis of reality.
This exercise lost any semblance of fun last summer with the Yuniesky Betancourt deal and hence I did not bother. The July, however, before I donned the GM hat and traded Ron Mahay for Chris Carter (then with the Red Sox), Kyle Davies for Nelson Cruz (at the time toiling in AAA) and Blake Johnson (plus someone else) for Joaquin Arias. All in all, that would not have been a horrible summer simply based upon acquiring Cruz. Let’s see how I do this July.
The first day of my reign at the top begins with the inheritance of a team that has won two of its last three games, but lost seven of its last nine. The Royals are closer to last than to first and have done so with a roster that really is not that young. My predecessor has left a farm system that is much stronger than what he inherited. Frankly, dare we say it, ‘the process’ was starting to work – just not in 2010 and probably not for a fair portion of 2011.
As a general manager, I find myself faced with two options (three, actually, if you are willing to stay drunk and high for three months and believe the Royals can contend this season). So, two options:
- Stay the course and wait for Mike Moustakas, Eric Hosmer and Wil Myers to become everyday regulars, while Mike Montgomery, Chris Dwyer, John Lamb, Danny Duffy and Aaron Crow move into my starting rotation.
- Try to accelerate ‘the process’ and, at the same time, buy a little insurance in case some of the highly touted prospects do not develop into major leaguers.
Pretty obviously, the answer is yes to both options: stay the course, but push it along at a quicker pace if you can do so without jeopardizing the future. Easier said that done, even for a blogger.
Prior to departing, Dayton Moore may have been presented with a couple of trade offers. The first would have sent Alberto Callaspo to the Angels for Sean O’Sullivan and a ‘fringe’ prospect. The second was David DeJesus to the Braves for Kris Medlen and a AAA reliever. Neither offer quite rings my bell.
O’Sullivan was the Angels’ number five rated prospect by Baseball America prior to the 2009 season, but lacks a true out pitch and has struggled against better hitting. While he did have a nice start upon his recent recall (6IP, 2ER) and I am faced with the looming spectre of Bryan Bullington starting on Sunday, the 23 year old O’Sullivan just doesn’t seem to offer enough potential for my tastes. However, the Angels are truly interested in Callaspo and while he is a good hitter having a somewhat down year, I just don’t see Alberto as a building block for a contending team.
I counter the Angels’ offer by asking for pitcher Trevor Bell, their 10th rated prospect prior to this season who has been obliterated in brief appearances in the majors, and a ‘fringe prospect’. Bell comes with a good fastball and good control and, if not an upgrade over Bannister and Davies, he is at least younger than both (23) and is almost certainly a better option than Bryan Bullington or Anthony Lerew.
The discussion turns to the ‘fringe prospect’ and begins to bog down. Every name I produce is not ‘fringy’ enough to the Angels and the line ‘well, if you want him, then you have to take O’Sullivan instead of Bell’ comes up often. In the end, I remind myself that I am trading a third baseman with a .308 on-base percentage and a slugging percentage barely over .400.
The deal is made: Callaspo to the Angels for Bell and a player to be named later. When the dust settles, the PTBNL ends up being catcher Brian Walker. Bell, for now, takes his place as the Royals number five starter, while Wilson Betemit and Mike Aviles take up the bulk of the innings at third base. This gives us a chance to see some more Chris Getz at second without taking Aviles’ bat out of the lineup. Can Getz play or not, who knows? This gives us a chance to find out.
Now, while I like Kris Medlen, I like David DeJesus a lot better. Truthfully, any hopes/prayers of being competitive in 2011 probably include having DeJesus in the Royals’ outfield. His option is affordable for next year and the compensation picks, while nice, would still be a player or players that are at least two years away from contributing in the majors. Plus, DeJesus is still likely to be an effective everyday player for the next three or four years and seems like a guy that the Royals could resign after the 2011 season. Heck, I might even entertain extension talks after the season to lock him down through the 2013 campaign.
Given that, we will continue to market DeJesus just in case someone gets really desperate and really silly, but the organizational thought will be to keep David, exercise the option and know that we have at least one major league outfielder set for 2011.
Although there has been interest in Joakim Soria, moving a closer of his effectiveness with what may be the best contract in baseball right now does not excite me at all. Frankly, any hope of catching lightning in a bottle and contending in 2011 instead of 2012 includes having Joakim in the Royals’ pen. Again, we’ll be happy to listen, but if the Yankees or whoever really want Soria, they will have to overpay by a factor of two to even make me answer the phone.
Of course, the real problem I have inherited is that Jose Guillen is blocking Kila Kaa’ihue, Scott Podsednik is blocking Alex Gordon and Rick Ankiel is healthy. It would actually be so much easier if Guillen was limping along with a sub-.300 on-base percentage and not much power or Podsednik was hitting .270 instead of .300. One could simply release the older players and ‘find out’ about younger players yet this year. As it stands right now, however, both Podsednik (especially) and Guillen (to some extent) have some value to the Royals and have played just well enough to make even me think they ought to have some trade value as well.
I don’t dislike Podsednik: he is what he is on the field and is a good veteran guy in the clubhouse. I’ll let his name float around as July 31st approaches. In the case of Guillen, he would almost certainly pass through waivers and be tradeable in August, but the urgency is in getting Kila Kaa’ihue to the majors so I can find out if he can hit. Yet, I have an owner who is not going to just release a player with 15 home runs and $5 million still coming.
I look once more to the evil empire because they have a gigantic hole at designated hitter, even with Jorge Posada spending most of the time there recently, - big enough to make Guillen’s .278/.339/.461 look appealing – and a clubhouse that could certainly contain any of Jose’s ‘quirks’. What’s Jose going to do when he is not in the lineup for three days? Spout off to Derek Jeter or Mariano Rivera?
After cornering David Glass in an elevator, I wear him down with the logic of giving up some money to move Guillen and open a spot for Kaa’ihue. It helps that it was 105 degrees in the elevator and Glass had to go the bathroom. He agrees to pay $4 million of Jose’s remaining salary.
The deal is Jose Guillen to the Yankees for minor league outfielder Ray Kruml, a 24 year old still toiling in A ball. Kila Kaa’ihue is promoted immediately and bats fifth on Sunday afternoon in Yankee Stadium. Sure, he goes zero for four and Trevor Bell gives up five runs in four innings that day, but I still feel better.
The Royals return home on July 26th and I continue to work the phones. The Reds are looking for bullpen help to ease the workload on their relievers. Obviously, Kyle Farnsworth is the name I shop to them. He has been much better this season and the last time he pitched in the National League (Braves-2005), Kyle fashioned a 1.98 earned run average in 27 innings of work. Despite having signed Russ Springer and the ghost of Jason Isringhausen, the Reds are still interested.
Who I want in return is currently injured outfielder Chris Dickerson. Now twenty-eight years old and nursing a bad wrist, some of the luster has worn off Dickerson, but not enough to net him straight up for Farnsworth. The Reds, however, are in a pennant race and, for all his faults, Willie Bloomquist is a guy that would certainly have a spot on a National League team. Bloomquist’s skill set also gloves nicely with the Reds’ other utility player, Miguel Cairo.
The deal gets done: Farnsworth and Bloomquist to the Reds for Chris Dickerson. While Dickerson’s injury pretty much means he will be in rehab mode for a while, he adds another player to the outfield mix for 2011. Maybe it all comes together for Chris, maybe not, but the Royals have given up two free agents to be and the Reds have gotten a couple of veteran guys to help them in their pursuit of St. Louis without really damaging their future.
Veteran minor-leaguer Ed Lucas gets the call to replace Bloomquist and Blaine Hardy gets a shot to replace Farnsworth in the bullpen. At the same time, Victor Marte is sent down in favor of Louis Coleman. Getting a good look at Hardy and Coleman this year will go a long way in determining how much of the Royals’ precious resources will have to be devoted to the bullpen in the off-season. The hope, obviously, would be ‘none’.
Now, the trade deadline is right in front of us and Boston, while still after every outfielder available has not been able to make a deal. Sure, they would ‘love to take DeJesus’ off our hands, but the return is not enough. My asking price starts with Casey Kelley and that generally grinds the conversation to a stop right there.
The Red Sox have been decimated by injuries and currently bat Darnell McDonald in the lead-off spot and are playing Bill Hall (.735 OPS) at second base. While McDonald has been decent and Daniel Nava a revelation, is Theo Epstein really ready to make a run at the playoffs with them? You see, I’ve got a guy with a World Series ring who happens to play leftfield and bat lead-off that just might be of interest to him.
By now, we are deep into the morning of July 31st and the Red Sox have pretty much stood pat as they tried to make ‘the big deal’. It has become obvious that the asking prices for top shelf outfielders are exorbitant and so we begin to discuss Podsednik. The match-ups don’t seem to be working out until we begin to include middle infielders in the discussion.
I snicker when I offer Yuniesky Betancourt and Epstein flat out laughs and calls me an unprintable name. However, the real name in the discussion is Mike Aviles. I love Aviles, love his story and think he is likely to gravitate towards a performance line somewhere in between his fabulous rookie season and what he is doing for the Royals right now. He can fill in at second until Dustin Pedroia is healthy and help out at shortstop where the Sox have turned to rookie Jed Lowrie.
What’s Podsednik AND Aviles worth to you, I ask? Not Jose Iglesias is the first answer.
However, how about pitcher Kyle Weiland? Now, that’s a start.
The name of AA outfielder Che-Hsuan Lin comes up at my prompting. He is a cut below the prime outfield prospects in the Sox system (Westmoreland, Kalish and Fuentes), but is 21 year old in AA who has as many walks as strikeouts.
There is some hemming and hawing on the other end as the clock ticks closer to the deadline. Finally, the deal is done: Podsednik and Aviles for Che-Hsuan Lin and Weiland. With that, the trade deadline comes to a close.
When the dust has settled, the Royals have an August 1st roster of:
C – Kendall, Pena
1b – Butler, Kaaihue
2b – Getz
ss – Betancourt
3b – Betemit (as we await the September call-up of Mike Moustakas)
Util – Ed Lucas
OF – DeJesus, Maier, Ankiel (sorry), Gordon (to replace Podsednik) and hopefully Dickerson in short order.
SP – Greinke, Chen, Bannister, Davies, Bell (with Hochevar & Meche hopefully soon to follow)
RP – Soria, Tejeda, Wood, Hardy, Coleman, Hughes, Texeira
The minor leagues have been strengthened with the addition of Weiland and Lin, plus some organizational depth in Kruml and Walker.
Perhaps most importantly, it gives us two full months to gauge whether Kaa’ihue, Gordon, Hardy, Coleman and even Dickerson can be projected as regulars on a major league roster building to contend. Simply knowing those answers will allow me, as general manager, to have a pretty accurate guide as to what needs to be fixed in the off-season.
Now, it’s your turn, tell me if this makes sense or not? Are the Royals in better shape after these moves or just ‘more of the same’?