Last night, Ned Yost wrote down a lineup whose number four through eight hitters combined had ZERO home runs. Jarrod Dyson, batting lead-off, also has not hit a dinger and Alcides Escobar batting ninth has only one. Basically, it was Billy Butler, Alex Gordon and no hope…right? Well, dummy, of course the Royals win with that lineup against Jon Lester. We all should have known.
Sure, the Red Sox outfielders certainly helped the Royals along and, to be honest, this is hardly the starting nine that Boston fans expected to be on the field when the year started. Of course, this was hardly the nine that Royals’ fans expected, either. Let’s call it even and let’s call it what it was: a good win and a good homestand.
The Royals finished 4-3 on this homestand: finally winning at home, finally beating a left-handed starter and hopefully giving themselves a good dose of relaxation. This team started the year anxious, hyped up and fell flat on their faces. Now, one would hope they should be in something of a groove.
A 4-3 road trip followed by a 4-3 homestand, while not ‘hot’, is certainly in a groove (which is different than a rut, which is different than what Luke Hochevar is in, but I digress). In fact, if the Royals could win 8 games out of every 14 until the end of June, they would be back at .500. Realistic? Maybe.
The Royals head on the road to play three at Chicago and two at Texas. The Rangers flat out scare the crap out of me, but even though they are playing better than expected, the White Sox are considerably less imposing. Two out of five on this short trip would not be a disaster, while three out of five would be a great success.
After that, KC comes home to play two against Baltimore (are they for real? I’m skeptical) and three against Arizona. Combined with the five games on the road, coming out of this ten game stretch, I would take a 5-5 record right now and head out on a nine game road journey to New York, Baltimore and Cleveland. That is followed by six games at home against Minnesota and Oakland, then three games at Pittsburgh.
That is twenty-eight games, two groups of fourteen. Do you see a couple of 8-6 records in there? Maybe, maybe not. I know for a fact it won’t happen unless:
The Starting Pitching Stops Going Short
Truthfully, it is kind of amazing the Royals managed to go 8-6 with some of the starting pitching performances that occurred during this span. In eight of the last eleven games, Royals’ starters have not made it out of the sixth inning. In six of those they have not made it out of the fifth. The bullpen, as expected, has been very good (hell, who is kidding who, it’s been great) and Ned Yost and Dayton Moore have done a nice job of cycling guys through to keep it semi-fresh, but you can’t keep doing that.
I am not asking for seven innings plus, but the starting rotation cannot implode on back to back nights, bracketed by five inning grueling performances. There are not enough relievers in the universe to cover for that all summer. With one exception, Bruce Chen has given the Royals’ innings and one would hope that Danny Duffy will start to as well. The addition of Felipe Paulino and the subtraction of Jonathan Sanchez from the rotation can’t hurt, either.
More innings, gentlemen. More, better innings, please.
Just Hit Eric
He’s going to hit, you hope that Eric Hosmer starts doing it before summer and certainly before next year. Although it made last night’s lineup look pretty funky, sitting Hosmer for a day was a sound idea. Frankly, I’m a little surprised Yost did not do it sooner or at least have Hosmer DH for a couple of days just to change things up. While Hosmer had some pretty bad hitting luck during a lot of this year, lately his contact has been less solid and, frankly, Eric looks a little lost at the plate (or worse, looks a little like Mark Reynolds).
I would have no problem with Hosmer swapping places in the order with Mike Moustakas (man, is he playing well or what?) and, as mentioned above, spending a day or two at DH just to give him something different to think about. I’m not Kevin Seitzer, (even though I did hit .556 at Fantasy Camp) but my advice to Eric Hosmer is to stop thinking so much and just swing the stick.
Hosmer’s going to hit…eventually. When he does, the Royals’ lineup goes from alright to really good.
LET THEM PLAY, NED.
There exists a very good probability that if I was a major league manager, I would want to ‘manage all the time’ as well. I mean, that is Ned Yost’s job and is one where every single decision, including where you stand in the dugout, can and will be second guessed. It’s the nature of the beast, it’s not going to change and, frankly, there is nothing wrong with that.
That said, Yost needs to let the games unfold on their own sometimes. This team, if you assume Hosmer will hit and Francoeur will sort of hit, once in a while, will score runs all on their own. The Royals swing the bats well enough that they don’t have to manufacture runs (there is a time and place of that, but it is nowhere near as often as Yost thinks), they don’t have to force the issue and risk running into outs at a breakneck pace.
Believe in your lineup and let them score runs. Besides, Ned, with this starting rotation, you will have many, many chances to ‘manage’ each night.
After a dismal beginning, this team has won on a regular basis over the past couple of weeks. They have done so without playing really good baseball and certainly with the handicap of poor starting pitching. There have been baserunning gaffes, defensive miscues and questionable strategy, but the Royals have managed to grind out a nice 8-6 run.
Taking whatever opinion you might have of Ned Yost, positive or negative, out of the equation, whether this team can keep moving forward will come down to the other two issues above. Eric Hosmer needs to hit and hit a lot and the rotation is whatever form it becomes needs to take games into the sixth inning.
Easier said then done to be sure, but doable…..maybe.