Who do you blame?
Do you blame Trey Hillman?
Roman Colon isn’t a guy to bring in to a game in a pressure situation, but he was handed a 5-1 lead and asked to get two outs. That’s not exactly pressure. I get what Hillman is doing here, which is basically throwing a guy to the lions (or Tigers) while hoping, against all odds, that he survives. Unfortunately, this isn’t any kind of a strategy.
Three batters later, Hillman tries to employ a platoon strategy, so enter Dusty Hughes to face Johnny Damon. Hillman is playing the percentages here – lefty vs. lefty. But in his brief time in the majors, Hughes allows a higher average against hitters from the left side (.250) than the right (.223). In the minors, here are his splits:
Vs LHB – .263
Vs RHB – .272
Yeah, it’s a difference, but in reality, Hughes isn’t a LOOGY. Hillman should know this. He should also know John Parrish likewise doesn’t own crazy platoon splits. Here’s how he’s done in his major league career:
Vs LHB – .253
Vs RHB – .269
Again, not a huge split. Not enough to bestow upon him LOOGY status. However, all things equal, who would you rather send to the mound to protect a two run lead in the seventh? Hughes, who has all of 17 major league innings under his belt and has yet to prove he can get hitters out at this level? Or Parrish, a ten year veteran who’s logged 275 innings in his major league career? And Parrish has been the second best reliever on this team in the first week.
Yeah, Hillman chose wrong. I’m sure Hillman didn’t want to use Parrish because he threw 20 pitches the day before, but what’s the harm in letting him face Damon – one batter? Parrish has been summoned from the pen five times this year and before Monday, faced exactly one hitter each time.
When Hughes can’t retire Damon, that has to be the end of his afternoon. One batter, that’s it. There’s no way you can let him face Magglio Ordonez. Yet, our fearless leader does just that. Would you be surprised to hear that Ordonez slugs 60 points higher against left handers? Or that he owns an OBP 15 points higher against leftys? I wonder if Hillman knows. This was set up for fail, but the only good thing that happened in the Ordonez plate appearance was the fact he didn’t swing the bat. Five pitches, four balls. By walking Ordonez, Hughes very generously allowed Hillman to dodge a bullet.
I would have brought Juan Cruz in to face Ordonez. That’s probably the proper strategy, but when Hillman finally goes to him one batter later, he coughs up a walk and a double.
Bye-bye five run lead. Here’s how Fangraphs saw it:
Herein lies the issue: Hillman is damned if he does and he’s damned if he doesn’t.
I’m not a Hillman apologist. Far from it. He mismanaged the bullpen in this game. It wasn’t the first time and it won’t be the last. Yet, the moves he got correct, still blew up in his face. That’s the way it seems to always go with SABR Trey. The guy can’t catch a break. Nevermind, most of the time this happens because his previous bad decisions put his team at a disadvantage in the first place. You’d think a little dumb luck would fall in his favor once or twice. I guess you could say the same for us Royals fans.
Of course… And this is the killer… As the Tigers rallied in the seventh, the Royals had one guy in the bullpen who had a better chance of anyone to stop the carnage. One guy who could have stepped up and slammed the door on the Tigers.
Yet Joakim Soria never got the ball.
Sure, it’s unorthodox strategy to bring your “closer” into a game in the seventh inning, but I’ve said it before and I’ll continue to beat this drum… Why wouldn’t you put your best pitcher out there with the game on the line? I’d make a bigger issue out of this, but this is the state of baseball today. It probably never crossed SABR Trey’s mind to use Soria in the seventh… Because it would have meant a seven out save! Ahh… but I’m not talking about doing that. I’m talking about using the closer as a “fireman.” Remember those days? It sounds so easy, except then what do you do for the remaining outs? Because you can’t clone Soria.
Luis Mendoza in the eighth? That’s like waving the white flag. Somehow, he was the best reliever of the day. That’s not a good thing.
Do you blame Dayton Moore?
Remember back when we thought GMDM’s best attribute was his ability to cobble together a bullpen out of spare parts and castoffs? Yeah, that’s not working so well anymore.
Kyle Farnsworth, Hughes, Mendoza, Colon? This cast of characters would have difficulty against a run of the mill Triple-A team. Cruz has been horrible since jumping to the AL. Just dreadful. I don’t trust Robinson Tejeda. Don’t trust him at all.
The Royals have eight relievers. Only one of them can be described as better than average – Soria. I’ll give Parrish the benefit of the doubt and call him average. The rest of this motley crew? Below average. Way below average.
And that has to be on the general manager. He built a bullpen, tore it down for some bats, tried to restock via free agency and lately has dipped into the minors and the free agent scrapheap in hope he can recapture his past success.
He’s finding it’s a little more difficult than he probably thought.
Last year, I was worried a shaky bullpen and an inept manager would cause the starters to be overworked. Now, I have to worry the Royals will carry 13 pitchers all year because 10 of them are disasters. Three years into the Moore/Hillman regime and we have yet to find a balanced roster.
So my answer to the blame game is, I blame both. I blame Dayton Moore for building this craptastic bullpen and I blame Trey Hillman for failing to figure out how to put his pitchers in the best situation to succeed. The losers here? Us. Most of us have stuck with this team through thin and thin the last 20-plus years. We deserve better than this. I wish I could offer some encouraging words and tell you there is some promise on the horizon. That things are looking up. But I can’t.
My advice is to stock up on your drink of choice. It’s going to be a cruel summer.