We all knew it was coming and yesterday afternoon it finally happened: the end of the Wilson Betemit era.
On Monday, I discussed the historical return netted by teams trading Betemit-like players and proposed a couple of options based around the supposed interest of the Milwaukee Brewers. If you think my analysis of that was in the ballpark as far as realism, then you likely are happy with what Dayton Moore extracted from Detroit.
Sure, neither Julio Rodriguez nor Antonio Cruz are considered ‘prospects’, but they are both very young with some upside. They are lottery tickets, but they are young lottery tickets.
Rodriguez, who according to Baseball Reference will turn 22 on August 3rd but is reported as being just 20 in the Kansas City Star, is an excellent defensive catcher with suspect hitting. Most of the concerns seem to be with his approach at the plate, so the possibility exists that he could rectify those issues over time. Julio’s career line is just .255/.302/.334, but he was hitting .283/.325/.354 in High A this season. With his defensive skills, it is not a huge stretch to imagine Rodriguez as a back-up major league catcher a couple of years down the road.
All sources agree that left-hander Antonio Cruz is 19 years old (turning 20 in October). He pitched part of last season, his first professional tour in America, in the Midwest League, so Cruz was thrown right into the fire by the Tigers. Used as a reliever in 2010, Cruz has started 10 games this season and pitched pretty well: 75 innings, 68 hits, 28 walks and 58 strikeouts.
The guys over at Pine Tar Press have a more detailed write-up of both of these prospects. They speculate that Cruz had potential to be a future lefty specialist.
You can condemn the Royals for how they handled the Betemit/Moustakas situation leading up to this trade and I might not disagree with you, but given where they actually were, I think this is a decent return.
Speaking of return, the Twitter world got hopped up last night as Melky Cabrera was pulled mid-game. As it turned out, Melky had a bit of a stomach ailment and was not traded. No word, by the way, on where or what Cabrera had for lunch.
Rumors, however, did have the Royals and Phillies discussing a deal, with Dayton Moore’s asking price being two ‘good’ starting pitching prospects in return for Cabrera. That is a big price tag and one that is unlikely to be accomodated by anyone, but it is a starting point.
Jon Morosi of Fox stated this morning on WHB that Melky was seen as the back-up plan for teams that are interested in but cannot acquire Carlos Beltran. All things considered, I am not sure Cabrera is not a better option for a lot of teams than Beltran, particularly when you consider that any team will get another year of Melky and not just a half-season rental.
If Moore is asking for two ‘good’ starting prospects, does that mean he will settle for one ‘good’ prospect and one ‘live arm’? That would be my guess and, keep in mind, ‘good’ does not mean ‘great’. I have grown to like the Melkman and actually would prefer keeping him over Francouer, but if the market can get you say Jesse Biddle and someone else from the Phillies, I think you pull the trigger.
Did Bruce Chen jump up the trade interest ladder with his fine eight inning-one run performance last night? I don’t know and I am not sure I want him to. Here is another guy who I thought was a waste of time this off-season and now look at him. Bruce is low cost and a good guy who would probably fits nicely into next year’s rotation. More importantly is the simple fact that there is way more buzz around Jeff Francis than Chen.
Arizona is viewed as a possible Francis destination and you wonder, with Stephen Drew going down with injury, if a Francis/Aviles package might actually net a real prospect. It won’t get you Jarrod Parker or Tyler Skaggs, but maybe someone out of the next tier of Diamondback pitching prospects.
The common theme of this entire column, you might have noted, is that the Royals want pitching. Nothing new about that as Dayton Moore has traded for pitching in the vast majority of his moves. His comments on 610 Sports Radio yesterday that it takes 10 to 20 pitching prospects to net 2 to 4 good major league pitchers (or 1 out of every 5 for those of you doing math at home) and his corresponding stance on what he wants in trade tells us that Moore doesn’t think he has enough prospects to meet his rotational needs.
Real quick and without any thought, the top ten pitching prospects in the organization are:
- Danny Duffy
- Mike Montgomery
- Aaron Crow
- John Lamb
- Chris Dwyer
- Jake Odorizzi
- Jason Adam
- Tim Melville
- Will Smith
- Noel Arguelles
My guess is that you might substitute in several other names instead or could pretty easily come up with at least five more, if not ten. Dayton Moore is telling you that is not enough. Given what we have seen in the minors this year, it is hard to argue. That said, we have to hope that Moore’s demands for pitching will not take him down the path of taking lesser pitching prospects at the expense of acquiring a more talented position player should the offer arise.
Welcome to the trade deadline, Royals’ fans. We should all be familiar with it by now. My guess is that Melky Cabrera is traded this month, along with either Jeff Francis or Bruce Chen (but not both). I would not completely rule out a bullpen arm moving as well, but almost certainly not Soria.
The return for any of those players will be interesting and important. What Dayton Moore got for Betemit, while decent, does nothing to make the 2012 Royals any better and likely has not impact on the 2013 team, either. My opinion is that Moore needs to net some pieces that will help both those future squads with the rest of his trade chips this Jul