I have spent the last forty-eight hours basically in bed and out of touch. Not that I expect anyone to care that I was sick, but only to explain that my mind is something of a blur this morning as I try to catch up on the rumor mill and, what was that other thing? Oh yeah, actual work that pays actual money.
At any rate, I had a dream/hallucination that the Royals signed Seth Smith yesterday. How tortured are we as Royals’ fans that a ‘dream’ is to sign a serviceable but hardly earth shattering part-time outfielder? See, I really was sick!
Anyway, the Royals did designate Philip Humber for assignment to make room for the new slim downed Jeff Franceour. Nothing too earth shattering there. Humber had some moments late last season, but I can see the organizational logic in letting go of him over some of the other marginal, yet younger, relievers on the current 40 man roster.
Another roster move is pending to make room for Melky Cabrera. Although some out there are guessing that it might be Joaquin Arias, my speculation is that it will be another of the rather obvious group of pitchers who Humber was once a part of. On the other hand, it could be Zack Grienke…
As Craig wrote yesterday, he predicted Greinke would be gone a week after the end of the Winter Meetings. I have maintained that he will be gone by Christmas. While the rumors have cooled off the last couple of days, that is sometimes the sign that actual work is being done between teams. Either that, or the Royals’ asking price has simply been deemed too much for the rest of major league baseball.
Some of the ‘supposed’ interest in Felix Hernandez, Carlos Zambrano and Fausto Carmona might be generated, at least in part, to see how firm the Royals’ stance may be on their expected return for Greinke.
Truthfully, the Mariners are not about to trade Hernandez. They have Ichiro and a lot of money invested in Chone Figgins and at least the hope that their ‘process’ has them in contention this year or next.
Carlos Zambrano? Hey, if the Yankees are concerned about Greinke pitching in New York and not concerned about Zambrano in their dugout, then go right ahead and pursue that avenue at your own risk.
All that said, it may be 2011 before the Royals move Greinke. As Craig also indicated yesterday, if rumors are not your cup of tea, don’t click on any baseball sites for the next thirty days.
While we are sitting here talking a lot and going nowhere, the one non-rumor, truly intriguing quote of the off-season by Dayton Moore has been that Everett Teaford, Danny Duffy and Aaron Crow will all get a look this spring at possibly breaking camp in the big league rotation. I think it is a longshot that any of the three lock down the number five spot, but that they are getting a shot at all is something of a positive sign.
I say that because it means that the organization’s long standing ‘we won’t rush anyone, they all need to spend plenty of time at each level’ development plan is not a hard and fast rule. Sure, you can rush a guy and really hurt him (see Gordon, Alex or even Franceour, Jeff), but you can also push a guy and get great results (see Saberhagen, Bret and Gubicza, Mark or even Greinke, Zack – at least in terms of onfield performance). I like the idea that not every player is the same and I also like the idea that in adhering to ‘The Process’, Dayton Moore also realizes that good teams are made up of players of different levels of experience.
Having Danny Duffy and Aaron Crow a year or even half a year ahead of Mike Montgomery and John Lamb makes perfect sense. Just as having Mike Moustakas up four months before Eric Hosmer, who will likely be up four or five months before Wil Myers, does. It helps from an experience factor and when it comes to future contract considerations.
Having Moustakas and Duffy arbitration and free agent eligible even just a year apart from Hosmer and Montgomery can make a world of difference in how many of those guys the Royals can keep around. If The Process is in it for the long term and not just one or two years of glory (i.e. the Marlins’ model), then spacing these prospects out both via experience and financially is smart.
So, in a roundabout way, who would you like to see as the Royals fifth starter in April of 2011?
- Everett Teaford – an under the radar guy who might not ever be great, but who has been solid at every level.
- Danny Duffy – talented, but who quit the game just a year ago. A guy who has simply dominated at every level, but is shy on overall innings.
- Aaron Crow – simply had a horrific minor league campaign statistically as he worked on some things, but who may (as doublestix speculated) be ready to take a big leap forward.
- Player X – probably a veteran innings eater who is on the backside of an average career. If you can’t name at least five of these guys signed by the Royals over the last six years you’re not trying.
All of those above options are assuming that Zack Greinke gets traded. If Greinke is the Royals’ Opening Day guy, then I think your rotation, for better or worse, is Greinke, Hochevar, Mazarro, Davies and O’Sullivan.
Don’t worry, 2012 is just a season away.