So, we’re about 10 days from the trade deadline, so why not handicap the Royals and the chances they’ll be moved in the next week and a half.
Kyle Farnsworth – 35%
Kerosene Kyle has been effective out of the pen this year and teams are always looking for relief. He could get dealt for a grade C prospect.
Jose Guillen – 5%
It’s not that Dayton Moore won’t trade him. It’s that he can’t trade him.
Alberto Callaspo – 20%
Reports on Tuesday had the Angels offering Sean O’Sullivan and a fringe prospect. Once upon a time, O’Sullivan was the Angels fifth rated prospect, but has struggled since moving past Single-A. I don’t blame Dayton – if the reports are true and he turned this offer down. However, if that’s the best bounty Callaspo will bring, he’s not going anywhere. Although the Angels seem like a fit.
Willie Bloomquist – 15%
He would return a PTBNL. At most.
Zack Greinke, Brian Bannister, Kyle Davies – 0%
The rotation is thin with Gil Meche and Luke Hochevar on the DL. There’s absolutely zero chance Dayton guts his rotation.
Joakim Soria – 5%
He’s signed at to a club-friendly deal and is a closer. Both points matter a great deal to management. Those Soria to New York rumors (and for Jesus Montero!) were so laughable, I’m not even sure they need to be addressed.
Bottom line: This is baseball’s silly season. I get the feeling there are a few national writers who scour losing teams for quality players on low dollar contracts. In other words, bargains. And those writers immediately throw those names into the trade cauldron. We get it… The Royals are the chum and the Yankees are the sharks. It’s lazy and unprofessional and total B.S. It’s like closing your eyes and throwing a dart and guessing where it will land. So the Yankees covet Soria. Really? If I had to guess, I’d say there are 28 other teams who covet the guy.
Soria isn’t going anywhere. Yet.
David DeJesus – 20%
This is the one guy who the Royals are willing to part with (although no one on this team should be “untouchable”) and he’s the one who would net the greatest return, so his odds are the highest outside of Farnsworth.
I could see him headed to Tampa or the Giants. And yes, I could see him in Boston. The Royals will have to lower their asking price though. No, he’s not a fourth outfielder, but he’s much more valuable to the Royals than he would be to say the Rays. That’s not a knock on DeJesus, it’s just a fact. And because that’s the case, teams aren’t going to want to give up a ton. Although if Jeff Passan’s report that the Royals are seeking a major league ready prospect and a mid level prospect is accurate, that seems fair to me.
It will take a savvy GM to get a team to pony up what the Royals are looking for. I don’t think we have that GM.
The Field – 15%
Overall, I think the odds that GMDM and the Royals make a trade is around 15%. I just don’t see much happening at the deadline.
I hope I’m wrong.
Really not much to analyze in a 13-1 beatdown.
— It was one of those nights when Anthony Lerew looked like a Triple-A pitcher and the Blue Jays looked like the team leading the AL in home runs and second in slugging. The Jays were ripping Lerew all over the park. It was the Laser Show prelude to the Lightening Show.
It was only a matter of time before someone lined one up the middle and off the pitcher. Honestly, Lerew was throwing BP out there – he probably should have had the screen in front of him. At the time, I thought that was the last thing the Jays wanted to do… Why knock out the pitcher who has nothing? Turns out it didn’t hurt as Kanekoa Texeira wasn’t any better, allowing both inherited runners to score before allowing two more to plate in the third inning.
Early word on Lerew was a bruised rib cage and bicep. I bet. He’s feeling the pain right about now.
— Speaking of BP, that was exactly what Blake Wood was throwing. That 95 mph on a string… No way a slugging team like the Jays doesn’t just crush the ball against a pitcher like Wood. And crush him they did. Bautista smoked a double off the Royals reliever and Lind hit a liner that bounced off the top of the wall for a home run. In both instances, the hitters were sitting fastball. In both instances, Wood obliged.
— If you were a major league player and your best chance at getting on base was to make like a fastpitch softball player and execute a swinging bunt, would you be embarrassed? Just asking…
— There was a Brayan Pena sighting as he entered the game in the eighth as a pinch runner for Jose Guillen with the Royals down by 10 at that point. Love the strategic maneuvering. Gotta keep Guillen fresh. And it was muddy out there, too. Gotta keep him safe.
— If you love spectacular defensive plays, this was your game. The Jays had Web Gems all around the infield on Tuesday. And Alberto Callaspo turned in a couple of nifty plays to his left as well.
— The Blue Jays had 16 hits, while the Royals had 11. Yet the Jays scored 13 runs, while the Royals could only muster a run.
Perhaps the difference was that the Jays had 10 extra base hits to the Royals one.
That seems to be the story of the Royals offense in a nutshell.
When I hear someone say Kevin Seitzer has done a great job with this team, I just shake my head. Not that he’s done anything wrong or horrible… But he hasn’t done anything to really make a bit of difference with this offense.
The point of the offense is to score runs. The end. I could care less that the Royals are leading the league in batting average. They’re second to last in walks and their 4.37 runs per game are 10th. They rank seventh in OBP (at .335, which is actually a surprise given the lack of walks… And a good thing) and 11th in slugging at .402.
It’s not like Seitzer can teach guys power, so I’m not going to dock him points for the Royals team slugging percentage. But when you depend on guys to string together three singles to score one run, it’s going to be difficult to get the runs across the plate.