From 2008 through 2010, these are the worst players ranked by OPS+ who have accumulated at least 1,500 plate appearances:
Pedro Feliz – 72
Jason Kendall – 72
Yunisky Betancourt – 80
Melky Cabrera – 82
Ryan Theriot – 82
Jeff Francoeur – 83
Dayton Moore has done it again. (He may not be finished. Feliz bats right-handed and is a free agent. He will probably have to outbid Jack Z in Seattle.) Somehow he has added players to replace areas where the Royals were getting below average offensive production (I’m talking the overall outfield here) and made the team worse.
Sure, Francoeur is just 27. He’s in his prime, right? Well, sometimes players just aren’t good. Over his last five seasons, he’s hit .265/.307/.414, averaged 31 walks and 17 home runs. And even those numbers are misleading… His home run average is elevated by a career high 29 in 2006. He hasn’t topped 20 home runs since. Maybe part of that is his outright lack of plate discipline. Only Francoeur and Vladi Guerrero swung at more than 60% of pitches they saw last year.
Bottom line… He’s just not a good ballplayer. And with over 3,000 plate appearances since 2006, we know exactly where his true talent level lives. He may be in his prime, but he’s not going to improve. He’s reached his ceiling.
Cabrera is equally disappointing. Over the last four seasons, he’s hit just .264/.321/.377, averaging eight home runs and 39 walks a season. He’s going to be 26 next year, but his career has been in neutral since 2007. (Of course, this deal isn’t final at the time of my writing. Still… I have faith in GMDM.) Last year, his defense was abysmal and his plate discipline was non existent. He doesn’t get on base, he lacks power and his speed isn’t all that great. Why would anyone sign him unless he was a final option?
Dayton Moore just signed a pair of out machines. Both players received the change of scenery, and both failed. Again. There’s no reason to think they will thrive or even be average in Kansas City.
Obviously, I don’t like these signings. I also don’t like some of the justification I’ve seen from some people trying to explain these moves. A couple of these need to be debunked…
In the grand scheme of things, these moves just don’t matter.
Normally, I would agree with that, but this is a lineup Dayton Moore has acquired for the “grand scheme” either through free agency or trade:
RF – Jose Guillen
1B – Mike Jacobs
DH – Miguel Olivo
SS – Yuniesky Betancourt
C – Jason Kendall
CF – Ryan Freel
3B – Willie Bloomquist
2B – Tony Pena, Jr.
The “grand scheme” does nothing but illuminate how inept GMDM is at acquiring the services of major league talent. Am I the only one this troubles? Surely not. This scares the hell out of me. The general manager has been so tone deaf as to how to assemble a major league team since day one. Of course, in the grand scheme of things, it hasn’t mattered because the Royals haven’t been close to third place during this time. But what happens when the Royals are poised to contend? We know that successful teams are a blend of home grown players, savvy trades and solid free agent signings to plug a hole or two. So far, Dayton’s trades haven’t been especially savvy and his free agent signings haven’t plug holes on the roster… They’ve created massive sinkholes.
This is a “lost year” anyway, so what does it matter that the Royals fill their roster with below average players?
To me, this falls to personal preference. Do you want to watch Mitch Maier do his impersonation of vanilla, or do you want to watch Jeff Francoeur make outs? My issue here is GMDM has acquired so many boring (and predictable) players over the last couple of years, this is just more of the same. I’m a fan, first and foremost. I enjoy watching some players more than others… Guys who will take a strike when a pitcher is struggling to locate. Fielders who glide to the ball. Heads up base runners. I love the statistical side of the game, but when I watch the game, I want to see something that entertains and excites me.
The ilk of the Yunigma, Olivo, Kendall and now Francoeur and Melky do neither.
The Royals just parted ways with a player like that… David DeJesus
Frankly, this makes the l’affaire DeJesus look much, much worse. DeJesus was due $6 million for next season. Now the Royals have apparently committed close to $4 million for two players who combined won’t provide the production the team would have received from DeJesus.
Fine. DeJesus wasn’t part of the long-term plan. He wasn’t going to be around when Project 2012 takes flight. Here’s the thing… Neither are Francoeur and Cabrera. These guys aren’t part of any future in Kansas City.
There’s a net savings of $2 million. And for what? Wouldn’t it have been preferable to hang on to DeJesus until the trade deadline? Sure, he got injured last year, squelching any deal GMDM had in the works, but them’s the breaks. It happens. Sometimes luck isn’t on your side. Would the same thing have happened in 2011? Who knows. The other option would have been to play out the year with DeJesus, offer him arbitration and collect the draft picks. He was on the border between Type A and Type B, so with a solid season he would have moved to the positive side. Would that have been worth the gamble? I think so.
If there’s one thing GMDM and his scouts have shown they can do, it’s draft. I’d take the trade of picks over the bounty of Vin Mazarro and Justin Marks.
(Besides, how bad does this trade look right now? I just feels like GMDM sold low, especially when making the deal prior to the Werth and Crawford signings. Not that DeJesus is on par with those two… He’s not. It’s just that the bar creeps higher all the time. Perhaps by delaying until after some of the top free agents signed, Moore could have upped his return. Obviously, it’s all speculation… But I can’t help but think that Moore’s continual desire to move at breakneck speed to open the off season has hurt the team. Again.)
Maybe these guys can be flipped for prospects at the trade deadline.
Of course the best case scenario has Dayton Moore flipping Francoeur and Cabrera at the deadline for a couple of prospects, in the same vein as the Podsednik and Ankiel deals. Nobody in their right mind (except maybe GMDM) wants the Scare Pair around for an entire season. That ignores a pair of salient facts. First, Podsednik, for all his flaws, actually brought some value offensively to the team. Ankiel wouldn’t have returned a bucket of batting practice balls if it weren’t for Farnsworth, who was packaged with him in the deal.
If Frenchy and Melky perform up to expectations, there won’t be suitors lining up at the deadline.
And finally Dayton Moore has turned his roster math into advance calculus.
You want a low-OBP outfielder, who bats from the right side with no pop, fine. Get one. But two? Why? Where do they both fit? Are we going to platoon (give up on) Alex Gordon? Is Gregor Blanco on the outs? Mitch Maier doesn’t excite anyone, but he would probably provide more value than either of the new guys at a fraction of the cost.
The Francoeur to Kansas City move was preordained from the day Dayton took the reigns of the franchise. Then Melky? Jeez, pick one and go forward.
This is like Dayton’s recent utility infielder waiver claimpalooza where he picked up Joaquin Arias (who incidentally, was traded for Francoeur at the trade deadline last summer) and Lance Zawadzki. One… It’s not ideal, but fine. Two? Overkill.
Or how about last winter when Dayton signed Ankiel, Podsednik and Brian Anderson to contracts. Again, this made no sense.
There just isn’t any reason to think that Dayton Moore can assemble what could be considered a complete 25-man roster. Any hope we had of that evaporated a couple of years ago. By signing Francoeur and Cabrera, it just underscores our lost hope. A reminder of sorts.
Meanwhile, the minor league system is flush with talent. We had better hope that a high percentage of that talent hits, and hits big. Because if the Royals are in a position where they have to surround one or two studs with complimentary players, we know how that’s going to go. Think Greinke.
The Process is multifaceted. There’s The Process at the minor league and player development level. And there’s The Process in the major leagues. At least that’s what I keep telling myself.