Boy, a guy leaves town for three days and he comes back to find that the Royals have signed Pedro Feliz.
To be fair, the Royals are saying all the right things about the Feliz signing. He is a ‘veteran presence in camp’, ‘insurance against injuries’ and ‘will not stand in the way of Mike Moustakas’. All of which makes some sense, especially when just a year ago, injuries to Alberto Callaspo, Mike Aviles and Alex Gordon left the Royals with Willie Bloomquist as their opening day third baseman.
Feliz comes with reputation of a good fielding third baseman (a career UZR/150 of 14.9), although he was below average statistically in 2010. Offensively, Pedro does not offer much (career line of .250/.288/.410) other than some occasional power. His slugging percentage has been in nearly perpetual decline for seven seasons: not encouraging when that skill is all Feliz offers with the bat.
Before we get too worked up, however, this is a minor league deal. An $800,000 minor league deal, mind you, but minor league nonetheless. Almost all these types of contracts have some sort of deadline date during the spring in which the team can cut the player loose and not have to pay much of the contract amount, so this is, as Dayton Moore said, ‘a no risk’ deal….theoretically.
Anyway, Feliz aside, it is a new month and time for another draft of the Royals’ Opening Day roster. Gil Meche juggled the situation some for us and we now have Jeff Francis and Bruce Chen in our rotation. Only Royals’ fans could be comforted by those two names, but we are who we are. We are close enough to spring training that this exercise is becoming less guess and more fact, so let’s break it down.
CATCHER – Brayan Pena and Lucas May
Four months ago, I was certain Dayton Moore could not resist the allure of a veteran back-up catcher, but has managed to do so. Some of that may have to do with reports that Jason Kendall is ‘ahead of schedule’. I’m sure all of you are anxiously counting the days until his return. Short of every other pitch going to the backstop with Pena and May behind the plate, I don’t think we’ll see any surprises here.
FIRST BASE/DESIGNATED HITTER – Billy Butler and Kila Ka’aihue
About the only question here is who will be where. There has been some mention of Butler spending a lot more time at DH, but we will just have to see how it all plays out. Everyone likes big, tall first basemen target wise, so I like Kila at first and Billy at DH, but won’t throw many fits if turns out to be the other way around. My guess is they alternate and never really decide. We know Billy will hit, we don’t know if Kila will, but at last we get to find out.
SECOND BASE – Chris Getz
Mike Aviles is being ‘converted to third base full-time’, so that pretty much answers any questions here. The Royals are going to take some time to find out what they have in Getz, which is a luxury they can afford this season. My guess is the length of the ‘look’ is equal to the time it takes Mike Moustakas to hit 10 home runs in Omaha. Once Moustakas is up, Aviles will likely knock Getz off second and that will be that. Both Nick and I have a somewhat irrational ‘like’ of Getz, so we’ll be watching his progress (or lack thereof) closely.
SHORTSTOP – Alcides Escobar
Hopefully he looks more like the 12th best prospect in baseball than the guy who used his jersey last year in Milwaukee. Either way, we will see 150+ games out of him at this position.
THIRD BASE – Mike Aviles
This is likely Aviles’ job to lose as the club is horrified of Wilson Betemit’s glove and should be horrified of Pedro Feliz’s bat. The Royals never really want to believe in Aviles, but he generally makes them, so I expect Mike to get the Opening Day nod here and hopefully steady duty until Moustakas gets the call.
UTILITY – Wilson Betemit
The Royals have barely mentioned Betemit’s name this off-season. I don’t know if they are afraid to jinx his outstanding offensive performance of 2010 by talking about it or simply don’t believe in him. Although Wilson has played just about everywhere defensively, he is pretty much a butcher wherever – better than Esteban German, but then most of us are. Look for Betemit to get some time at third and in the DH/first base rotation as well: particularly against tough lefthanders in place of Kila.
LEFTFIELD – Alex Gordon
Lot’s of talk here, but I think the Royals know they have to give Alex one last shot to play everyday and, well, dominate. It would be ludicrous for a team destined to win 74 games or less to not give Gordon all the at-bats here.
CENTERFIELD – Melky Cabrera
I know, you don’t like it. I don’t like it, either, but it seems like destiny to me. I just have a hunch that Lorenzo Cain starts the season in AAA. That situation is annoying, but not the end of the world. Kind of like having Melky Cabrera as your centerfielder. Cain has this job by June if he doesn’t break camp with the team.
RIGHTFIELD – Jeff Francouer
You’re all just a little curious to see what happens here, aren’t you? Given Francouer’s ability to stay healthy, you are likely to get 160 games of this in 2011.
RESERVE OUTFIELDERS – Gregor Blanco and Mitch Maier
I can actually envision the team keeping Jarrod Dyson and using him as a pinch-runner/defensive replacement. You do not see a lot of that anymore, but it almost makes some sense. Probably, and barring a lust for Pedro Feliz which is very possible, Blanco and Maier both make this team to start with. Either one of them probably gives us every bit of what Melky Cabrera does, but they don’t have ‘the name’. Once Moustakas and Cain get the call, there is a real chance neither one is on the big league roster. My advise to Gregor and Mitch: be good savers.
STARTING ROTATION – Luke Hochevar, Jeff Francis, Vin Mazzaro, Bruce Chen, Kyle Davies
This got easy in a hurry after Francis and Chen were signed, plus Davies’ rather amazing inking of a $3.2 million deal. Sean O’Sullivan and others will get a courtesy look, but this is almost certainly your starting five. The above listing is my guess at the order.
BULLPEN – Joakim Soria, Robinson Tejeda, Blake Wood, Tim Collins, Jeremy Jeffress, Greg Holland, Nathan Adcock
I have to be honest, the end of that list is pretty much a guess coupled with my disdain for seeing Jesse Chavez and Kanekoe Texiera pitch. After thinking Tejeda would be traded this off-season, it appears that will not happen and he, along with Wood and that Soria kid are locks. After that I think Collins and Jeffress have inside tracks. I don’t know what more Collins has to prove and my guess is the organization might want to give Jeffress some ‘big league supervision’. Given where this team is and is going to be for much of 2011, there is little harm in carrying Rule 5 pick Adcock – at least for a while. As for Holland, his minor league track record is one of an adjustment period at each level followed by outstanding pitching. We saw some signs of that late in 2010 with Kansas City and I am expecting a big spring out of Greg this year.
An iffy starting rotation and a very young bullpen is something of a volitable combination and I can easily see the Royals shying away from it by going with veteran or quasi-veteran arms in the pen to start the year. As always the last three spots in the pen are always the hardest to predict.
So, there is your twenty-five. What’s the record by the end of May?