Ten straight losses. Nine straight at home. New and inventive ways to lose every day. A player to the disabled list every week. Welcome to the 2012 Kansas City Royals, ladies and gentlemen.
There have been a lot of things that have gone wrong through 15 games. In fact, at one time or another, almost everything has gone wrong. Enough, in fact, to have Ned Yost remark that changes may be on the horizon. It is a deep, dark hole and there really is no way around it. Losing 12 of 15, while accentuated by having it happen to start the season, would be a bad stretch and extremely noticeable at any time in the season. Three and twelve is three and twelve, folks. If you are not panicking just a little, then you are just being a contrarian for the sake of being contrarian.
All that said, the Kansas City Royals could reach .500 by the end of the season by simply winning two more games than the lose in each month. Of course, that assumes they right the ship and manage to play it even until we get to May Day. Sadly, that is a rather optimistic, sunshine pumping assumption right now.
As bad as the 2012 campaign has begun, some things have gone right.
- Mike Moustakas, with three hits on Sunday, raised his average to .269 and now has eight extra base hits. Along the way, Sunday’s error was the first blemish on what has been a very good defensive start for him. One cannot trust defensive stats this early in the year (or a player’s career), but the stats and the eyes certainly are pointing to Moustakas being a far better defender than was originally thought when he was coming up. Decent or better fielding coupled with a pace that puts Moustakas on track for fifty plus extra base hits is indeed something good.
- Speaking of good fielding. Well, let’s be serious, really good and probably great defense. Even after an 0 for 3 on Sunday, Alcides Escobar is hitting .286 with a .322 on-base percentage. Those numbers don’t get you in the Hall of Fame, but when combined with Escobar’s impact on defense, they are more than enough to get him deep into the positive side of the ledger. Sure, he has a somewhat fortutious .341 BABIP, but it is not crazy lucky. Prior to the season, if you were told that Escobar would have four doubles, a triple and a home run by game number 15, would you have even asked how often he was getting on base? Oh yeah, he has four stolen bases without being caught.
- Billy Butler. I almost didn’t put Billy on this list because he has done exactly what we expected: hit. You have arrived when an early wOBA of .394 gets you a ‘yeah, that’s Billy, he can hit’ response.
- I will probably draw some ire here, but I am not going to expound on the early season runs of Yuniesky Betancourt, Humberto Quintero or Mitch Maier’s .370 on base percentage. Maybe it’s bias, but I see Butler, Escobar and Moustakas building on their good starts and see the first three players in this bullet point falling. Yes, they have all three had moments and, quite frankly, more moments than many on the roster. Long term, I don’t see Yuni, Humbo and Mitch as answers to anything. I will make a deal with you: if Yuniesky Betancourt has an OPS over .800 May 23rd, I will write 1,000 words of something nice about him.
- Bruce Chen and Danny Duffy. While Duffy had a rough day on Sunday, he was outstanding in his first two starts and I think most of us would be delighted if Danny could produce two good starts out of every three in his sophmore season. As for Chen, I give up, he appears to be the next Jamie Moyer and, for right now anyway, the Royals can sure use him.
- Not a lot has gone right in the bullpen. What was supposed to be a ‘Super Pen’ has been decidedly average. While both Aaron Crow and Tim Collins have been tagged for some runs, both have had some really outstanding outings as well. Maybe the biggest positive of the entire pen has been Collins’ 12 strikeouts to just 1 walk in his first 8.2 innings of work. With the injuries to Soria and Holland, the deep pen is no a bit shallow and being able to rely on Collins and Crow (who has allowed 5 hits in 8 innings) is a nice fallback.
I know, some of this is reaching for sunshine. Perhaps this column should have been used to take some shots at Yost (who should just pick a batting order and let the guys settle in – this team is thinking too much, give them at least one less thing to think about!) or Moore or Glass or the coaching staff or just about anyone. We could truly panic and call for Johnny Giavotella, Nate Adcock and whomever else is someone different than Jason Bourgeois, but it is just a fraction too early. Not by much, mind you, but a week or two weeks too soon.
There are some positives and some really bad luck (entering Sunday’s game, Alex Gordon had a BABIP of .235, Hosmer just .163). The Royals have played horrific ball, but they don’t look like a team that should be this bad. This 3-12 start almost certainly means that Kansas City won’t win the division this season, but it does not doom them to laughingstock…at least not quite yet.